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Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on May 16, 2024. Passing major milestones like the 40,000 barrier the Dow Jones Industrial Average eclipsed this week makes for a nice headline, but market experts don't take much else from the move. Forty thousand "is a great milestone, but [at the] end of the day there isn't much difference between 39,999 and 40k," said Ryan Detrick, chief market market strategist at Carson Group. But the "Waiting for Godot" economic retrenchment never happened, despite wobbly corporate profits and other headwinds. Those factors outweighed queasiness over where the Federal Reserve was headed with monetary policy amid inflation that has proved surprisingly sticky.
Persons: Ryan Detrick Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Carson Group, Wall Street, Federal
Gold prices set for second weekly gain on Fed rate-cut optimism
  + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices appeared set for a second consecutive weekly gain on Friday, after recent U.S. inflation data fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates this year. The dollar index was down 0.6% for the week so far, against its rivals, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. "The upward bias for gold prices may remain, with the recent run in U.S. economic data offering room for the Fed to consider earlier rate cuts in 2024 while geopolitical tensions rock on. Bullion is known as an inflation hedge, but higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. "Gold prices may correct lower as markets look to re‑establish the historical relationship between gold and the U.S. dollar.
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, haven't, Bullion Organizations: Co, Federal, Fed, U.S . Federal Reserve, U.S ., Commonwealth Bank of Australia Locations: Bangkok, Thailand
Unprofitable bitcoin miners are starting to exit the network after the halving , as expected. But much of their performance relies on bitcoin's price, which still faces several near-term headwinds, according to JPMorgan. However, "we do not see upside for bitcoin prices in the current juncture and if anything we see headwinds over the near term," he added. That was expected to happen after the halving in April, which slashed a key revenue source for bitcoin miners. "The more bitcoin prices decline the higher the number of unprofitable miners that come under pressure to leave the bitcoin network and the larger the result[ing] decline in the hash rate and bitcoin production cost."
Persons: JPMorgan's Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Bitcoin, it's overbought, There's, Kong's, there's, Panigirtzoglou Organizations: JPMorgan, Venture, Miners
3-Stock Lunch: RDDT, NVDA & MDT
  + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email3-Stock Lunch: RDDT, NVDA & MDTGina Sanchez, Lido Advisors chief market strategist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss stock plays for three stocks including: Reddit, Nvidia and Medtronic.
Persons: MDT Gina Sanchez Organizations: Lido Advisors, Nvidia
"We should be anticipating higher highs in the market," Lundgren, the chief market strategist at MOTR Capital Management & Research and a portfolio manager at Little Harbor Advisors, recently told Business Insider. The 28-year market veteran's upbeat sentiment is more widespread now than last fall, when the S&P 500 struggled mightily before a powerful end-of-year surge. There can be negative or positive stretches within an established bull or bear market, Lundgren noted. Only one of the ETFs tracking Lundgren's preferred sectors has beaten the S&P 500 (in dark blue) since late last summer. When adjusting for market cap, cyclicals have fared much better and have bested the equal-weight version of the S&P 500 in several cases.
Persons: , David Lundgren, Lundgren, he'd, we've Organizations: Service, MOTR Capital Management & Research, Little Harbor Advisors, Business, Yahoo Finance, Yahoo
Dow closes above 40,000 for first time ever
  + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
New York CNN —The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above the 40,000 mark Friday for the first time in its 139-year history. To many Americans, “the Dow” simply means the stock market. Dow 100: The Dow first closed in triple digits in January 1906. Crash of 1929: The Dow fell 38 points on Oct. 28 and 31 more points the next day. Dow 30,000: Nov. 24, 2020: Covid sent the stock market plunging in the spring of 2020.
Persons: , Ryan Detrick, , Hogan, Dow, Teddy Roosevelt, Richard Nixon, Trump, Covid Organizations: New, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Carson Group, Dow, Nasdaq, Riley Financial, CNN, Wall, Microsoft, Chevron, Federal, Woolworth, Eastman Kodak Locations: New York, Chevron —
The S & P 500 on Wednesday closed above 5,300 for the first time ever. The last time the S & P 500 Short Range Oscillator was this overbought was back in December. The upswing picked up after the S & P 500's most recent bottom on April 19 and pushed to this week's records. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 - 1 year There is no telling whether the current overbought market will follow a similar pattern. Perhaps more telling, four of the bottom six sectors saw earnings estimates revised higher since the end of the first quarter.
Persons: Dow, Morgan Stanley, Stocks, it's, Rather, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Victor J Organizations: Federal Reserve, Palo Alto Networks, CNBC, Visitors, New York Stock Exchange, Blue, Bloomberg, Getty
As investors navigate the Federal Reserve's higher-for-longer interest rate policy — and eventual rate cuts down the road — they should make sure they have their fixed-income portfolio positioned properly, according to Wells Fargo. The Fed last raised rates in July 2023, bringing the fed funds rate to a range of 5.25% to 5.5%. But investors were buoyed by news Wednesday that the consumer price index showed inflation eased slightly in April. Right now, Wells Fargo anticipates two rate cuts this year and just one in 2025, bringing the Fed's target rate to a range of 4.5% to 4.75% by the end of next year, said Scott Wren, senior global market strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute. Investors can get exposure to intermediate-term bonds through mutual funds or exchange-traded funds.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Wells, Scott Wren, Wren Organizations: Federal, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Wells Fargo
Dow crosses 40,000 for the first time
  + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
New York CNN —The Dow broke past the 40,000 threshold Thursday morning for the first time ever, fueled by an encouraging inflation report. It also highlights a notable contrast between sentiment on Wall Street and Main Street. Dow 100: The Dow first closed in triple digits in January 1906. The Dow nearly matched that in 2017, rising 25%. Dow 30,000: Nov. 24, 2020: Covid sent the stock market plunging in the spring of 2020.
Persons: Dow, stoking, , Gary Pzegeo, John Williams, Tom Barkin, ” Tyler Schipper, Thomas, Hogan, Teddy Roosevelt, Richard Nixon, Trump, Covid Organizations: New, New York CNN, Markets, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CIBC Private Wealth, , Walmart, Airlines, Big Tech, York Fed, Reuters, Richmond Fed, Dow, University of Michigan, CNN, CPI, University of St, Riley Financial, Wall, Microsoft, Chevron, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Federal, Woolworth, Eastman Kodak Locations: New York, United States, Minnesota, Chevron —, AFP
Stocks turned lower and closed in the red on Thursday after the Dow briefly crossing 40,000 for the first time. The S&P 500 failed to extend its gains after closing at a record high on Wednesday. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The Dow failed to close above the key threshold, and the S&P 500 struggled to consolidate gains after hitting a record close on Wednesday. AdvertisementBroadly, the Fed speakers on Thursday painted a picture of a central bank in no hurry to pivot as inflation remains above its 2% target.
Persons: Stocks, , Dow, Tom Barkin, John Williams, Barkin Organizations: Dow, Service, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Richmond Fed, York Fed, Reuters, CNBC Locations: Here's
New York CNN —The Dow Jones Industrial Average is, at best, an imperfect barometer of stock market activity among a narrow band of very large US companies. It’s clunky, and too limited in scope for any Wall Street pros to pay serious attention to it. “Mention ‘the Dow’ and, to most people, that means the stock market,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Financial, in a note to CNN. It’s just an index that tracks the stock market activity of 30 large US companies, from Amazon to McDonald’s to the Walt Disney Company. Market capitalization measures the total value of a company on the stock market.
Persons: Dow, , Hogan, It’s, “ Dow Jones ”, , Nick Colas, you’re, ” Colas, Daniel Alpert, wasn’t, Goldman Sachs, Colas, I’ve, ” Alpert Organizations: New, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Dow, Riley Financial, CNN, Walt Disney Company, Westwood Capital, Standard Oil, US Steel, Microsoft, Apple Locations: New York, Amazon, Silicon
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's where we've trimmed our portfolio and are reallocating money, says Wells Fargo's WrenScott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss where in Wren's portfolio he would trim, if the stock shopping list is wide outside of the technology sector, and more.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Wren Scott Wren Organizations: Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo
Lerner: Not surprising to see stocks hitting fresh record highs
  + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLerner: Not surprising to see stocks hitting fresh record highsKeith Lerner, Co-Chief Investment Officer and Chief Market Strategist at Truist Wealth, discusses the market momentum as inflation shows signs of easing.
Persons: Lerner, Keith Lerner Organizations: Truist
Deep out-of-the-money call options saw an explosion in trading volume just before the return of "Roaring Kitty." AdvertisementThe recent explosion in meme stocks like GameStop and AMC Entertainment looks suspicious, according to one market expert. Aside from the call options, GameStop stock has been gaining since late April, jumping about 60% from April 24 through March 10 despite no fundamental news on the company. "A suspicious person might wonder why 'Roaring Kitty' chose to return to social media today. The SEC filings in BBBY were boilerplate, and the social media post literally had no words.
Persons: Steve Sosnick, , Sosnick, Kitty, Ryan Cohen, Cohen, it's Organizations: GameStop, Interactive, Service, AMC Entertainment, Interactive Brokers, Yahoo Finance, SEC Locations: Bath
He believes the stock market is rational — even when it doesn't appear to be. Related stories"The market is ruthlessly efficient, both long term and short term," Lundgren said. The strategist added: "The market doesn't care one iota about fundamentals in the short term. Like any market, stock exchanges determine prices based on what buyers and sellers will pay and sell for. Just because it's taking place in a mall doesn't make that mall an insane asylum."
Persons: , Tuesday's, Redditors, David Lundgren, Lundgren, who's, that's, It's, Benjamin Graham, Mark Minervini Organizations: Service, GameStop, Business, Street, MOTR Capital Management & Research, Little Harbor Advisors, AMC
Loan loss reserves have perked back up in recent quarters and are at roughly 1.75% of loans outstanding, according to MRB Partners. If the economy only modestly slows, as many economists expect, new loan loss reserves could be smaller in the future. This situation comes as bank earnings were generally better than expected for the first quarter. Lauren Goodwin, chief market strategist and economist at New York Life Investments, agreed that a potential slowing or reversal of loan loss reserves would be positive for bank earnings but said she is cautious about bank profitability more broadly. To be sure, banks may need to increase their loan loss reserves if the economic outlook gets worse.
Persons: Banks, Bob Elliott, Salvatore Ruscitti, Ruscitti, Lauren Goodwin, Goodwin, they're, Unlimited's Elliott Organizations: MRB Partners, Funds, Bank, P Bank ETF, New York Life Investments Locations: Bridgewater, MRB
Shares of Palo Alto plunged 28% on Feb. 21, a session after the company delivered a more cautious outlook for the rest of 2024. The shift in business strategy requires Palo Alto to give customers its new services and products for free to demonstrate their many benefits. PANW YTD mountain Palo Alto Networks (PANW) year-to-date performance 2. The Club is focused on how much industry spend is going to Palo Alto versus competitors, but we're not concerned about demand for the company's offerings. In this photo illustration the Palo Alto Networks logo seen displayed on a smartphone and on the background.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Sellers, Nikesh Arora, Palo, We'd, it's, PANW, Arora, Jim Cramer, We've, nudging, Stephen Vintz, we're, Jim, Jim Cramer's, Rafael Henrique Organizations: Palo Alto Networks, Wall Street, Palo, Tech, Barclays, Palo Alto, billings, Wall, Alto Networks, UnitedHealth Group, Change, Healthcare, Club, Microsoft, Vans, Corp, Caesars Entertainment, Securities, Exchange, US Fed, CNBC, Networks, Getty Locations: Palo Alto, U.S, Palo, billings, Palo Alto's, Alto
The rally back to the record highs for the S & P 500 is already spurring at least one Wall Street shop to raise its expectations for the year. BMO Capital Markets strategist Brian Belski said in a note to clients Wednesday that he is raising his year-end target for the S & P 500 by almost 10% — to 5,600 from 5,100. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has rebounded to record highs. "Historical performance patterns suggest continued gains given the level of YTD performance. The S & P 500 hit an intraday all-time high on Wednesday morning, trading near 5,279.
Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, Street, CNBC Market, Survey, BMO
With the S & P 500 making a fresh all-time high Wednesday morning, it has erased the 6% pullback in short-order. By late March, momentum began to slow, and it became clear that it would take some time to see the next bullish pattern. That means there still has not been a successful bearish pattern (big or small) since last October. If the S & P 500 can't hold this latest push to new highs, then a bullish formation like this could be constructed. The bottom line is this: Strong trends are made from both bullish patterns working and bearish patterns failing.
Persons: Frank Cappelleri Organizations: CNBC Pro
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors need an exit plan from meme trade revival, says Trade-Ideas' Michael NaussMichael Nauss, Trade-Ideas chief market strategist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the meme stock mania and how to trade it this time.
Persons: Michael Nauss Michael Nauss Organizations: Investors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall-cap valuations look better than large caps, says market strategist Julie BielJulie Biel, Kayne Anderson Rudnick chief market strategist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the markets, the Fed and opportunities in small caps.
Persons: Julie Biel Julie Biel, Kayne Anderson
Stocks are vulnerable to a stagflation or hard landing rebound, says Bank of America's Michael Hartnett. AdvertisementStock markets face downturn risk if stagflation or recession anxiety re-materializes, Bank of America's top global strategist Michael Hartnett wrote on Tuesday. "Sentiment not at 'close-eyes-and-sell' levels but risk assets vulnerable to more evidence of stagflation," he noted in the bank's latest Global Fund Manager Survey. Although outlooks have since calmed, stagflation seemed like a growing possibility last month, when estimate-beating inflation data eclipsed shallow first-quarter GDP. Stagflation may have some part to play, as inflation remains the leading tail risk, while fears of an "economic hard landing" grew stronger.
Persons: America's Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, , Michael Hartnett, stagflation Organizations: America's, Service, materializes, Bank of America's, Global Fund, Survey, Japan Utilities, Federal Reserve Locations: China, Europe, Japan
The stock market just flashed a bullish signal that suggests more upside ahead, according to Bank of America. The S&P 500 and NYSE advance-decline lines hit new all-time highs on Friday. The bullish breadth signal supports the bull case for a 6% gain in the S&P 500 this summer. AdvertisementThe stock market in recent days has flashed a bullish signal that suggests the S&P 500 will hit record highs this summer, according to Bank of America. According to Suttmeier, the bullish advance-decline line, combined with a bullish continuation pattern formed in the S&P 500 this month, means that the index is likely to hit record highs this summer.
Persons: , Stephen Suttmeier, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Suttmeier Organizations: Bank of America, NYSE, Service, Carson Group
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's macro backdrop still points to an overall 'rangebound' market, says JPMorganJulia Wang, executive director and global market strategist at JPMorgan Private Bank, says the "stability from the manufacturing side hasn't really found its way into the rest of the economy."
Persons: Julia Wang Organizations: JPMorgan Private Bank
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe rebound market still has room to run, says Richard Bernstein's Dan SuzukiDan Suzuki, Richard Bernstein Advisors deputy CIO, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss stocks' current rally, sectors with the most opportunity, and more.
Persons: Richard Bernstein's Dan Suzuki Dan Suzuki, Richard Bernstein
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